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Navigating Global Power Dynamics of AI and the Generative World Order

The rapid advancement of AI technologies offers transformative opportunities alongside significant risks. AI can enhance global cooperation in areas such as healthcare and climate governance but also poses threats to international security through autonomous weapons, surveillance, and disinformation. This study examines AI’s dual role in shaping a generative world order, analyzing the U.S.-China competition and the EU’s regulatory interventions. Our analysis reveals that AI is not only a technological frontier but also a geopolitical fault line, fostering a world order where normative, economic, and security concerns converge. While the U.S. and China lead AI innovation, their escalating geopolitical tensions and economic rivalry highlight AI’s geopolitical significance. The EU, despite its limited AI industry capacity, shapes global norms through regulatory frameworks. Although Türkiye is not currently a leading actor, it emerges as a potential regional mediator, leveraging its geopolitical positioning and growing AI initiatives. This paper frames AI’s techno-political implications within global order theories, highlighting Türkiye’s soft-balancing approach as a novel case in middle-power diplomacy in the AI era.

Navigating Global Power Dynamics of AI and the Generative World
 

 

 

Introduction

 

The mid-20th century marked the emergence of artificial intelligence (AI) as a field, with computer scientists starting to investigate the creation of machines capable of cognition emulation. Artificial intelligence now spearheads innovation, revolutionizing diverse sectors and everyday experiences. However, AI’s impact extends beyond innovation, as its rise introduces significant risks, from ethical dilemmas to global security challenges. As AI systems gain autonomy and sophistication, anxieties regarding their ethical ramifications, economic upheaval, and security vulnerabilities intensify.1 Global discussions have emerged on issues such as job displacement, algorithmic bias, widespread surveillance, and the potential misuse of AI in cyber warfare and autonomous weapons. This continuous dialogue underscores AI’s dual capacity to both empower and endanger human society, emphasizing the critical need for judicious development and oversight.

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